{"id":291,"date":"2006-04-18T17:00:48","date_gmt":"2006-04-18T09:00:48","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2016-01-25T23:05:24","modified_gmt":"2016-01-25T15:05:24","slug":"to-the-naysayers-never-say-never","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/291\/","title":{"rendered":"To the naysayers &#8211; never say never"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve often been faced by sceptics about whether on not certain things are possible or not. In fact, I myself doubt certain things will not happen. But one thing that I must learn not to doubt is the human spirit. The spirit of anything can happen. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.google.com\/search?q=bad+predictions&amp;start=0&amp;ie=utf-8&amp;oe=utf-8&amp;client=firefox-a&amp;rls=org.mozilla:en-US:official\">I did a quick google and found some interesting sites relating to bad predictions<\/a>. I picked <a href=\"http:\/\/rinkworks.com\/said\/predictions.shtml\">one site<\/a> and re-produce the bad predictions for reference:<\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<h1>Bad Predictions<\/h1>\n<p><em>It&#8217;s generally a bad idea to say something can&#8217;t or won&#8217;t be done, especially in the realm of science and technology. The following are quotations from the past that haunt their speakers today:<\/em><\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;I think there is a world market for maybe five computers.&#8221; &#8212; Thomas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Where a calculator on the ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computers in the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1.5 tons.&#8221; &#8212; Popular Mechanics, 1949<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad that won&#8217;t last out the year.&#8221; &#8212; The editor in charge of business books for Prentice Hall, 1957.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;But what&#8230;is it good for?&#8221; &#8212; Engineer at the Advanced Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home.&#8221; &#8212; Ken Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;640K ought to be enough for anybody.&#8221; &#8212; Attributed to Bill Gates, 1981, but believed to be an urban legend.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;This &#8216;telephone&#8217; has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us.&#8221; &#8212; Western Union internal memo, 1876.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?&#8221; &#8212; David Sarnoff&#8217;s associates in response to his urgings for investment in the radio in the 1920s.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;While theoretically and technically television may be feasible, commercially and financially it is an impossibility.&#8221; &#8212; Lee DeForest, inventor.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;The concept is interesting and well-formed, but in order to earn better than a &#8216;C&#8217;, the idea must be feasible.&#8221; &#8212; A Yale University management professor in response to Fred Smith&#8217;s paper proposing reliable overnight delivery service. (Smith went on to found Federal Express Corp.)<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Who the hell wants to hear actors talk?&#8221; &#8212; H. M. Warner, Warner Brothers, 1927.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;I&#8217;m just glad it&#8217;ll be Clark Gable who&#8217;s falling on his face and not Gary Cooper.&#8221; &#8212; Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the leading role in &#8220;Gone With the Wind.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;A cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports say America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like you make.&#8221; &#8212; Response to Debbi Fields&#8217; idea of starting Mrs. Fields&#8217; Cookies.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;We don&#8217;t like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out.&#8221; &#8212; Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Radio has no future. Heavier-than-air flying machines are impossible. X-rays will prove to be a hoax.&#8221; &#8212; William Thomson, Lord Kelvin, British scientist, 1899.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;So we went to Atari and said, &#8216;Hey, we&#8217;ve got this amazing thing, even built with some of your parts, and what do you think about funding us? Or we&#8217;ll give it to you. We just want to do it. Pay our salary, we&#8217;ll come work for you.&#8217; And they said, &#8216;No.&#8217; So then we went to Hewlett-Packard, and they said, &#8216;Hey, we don&#8217;t need you. You haven&#8217;t got through college yet.'&#8221; &#8212; Apple Computer Inc. founder Steve Jobs on attempts to get Atari and HP interested in his and Steve Wozniak&#8217;s personal computer.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;If I had thought about it, I wouldn&#8217;t have done the experiment. The literature was full of examples that said you can&#8217;t do this.&#8221; &#8212; Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3-M &#8220;Post-It&#8221; Notepads.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;It will be years &#8212; not in my time &#8212; before a woman will become Prime Minister.&#8221; &#8212; Margaret Thatcher, 1974.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;I see no good reasons why the views given in this volume should shock the religious sensibilities of anyone.&#8221; &#8212; Charles Darwin, The Origin Of Species, 1869.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;With over 50 foreign cars already on sale here, the Japanese auto industry isn&#8217;t likely to carve out a big slice of the U.S. market.&#8221; &#8212; Business Week, August 2, 1968.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;That Professor Goddard with his &#8216;chair&#8217; in Clark College and the countenancing of the Smithsonian Institution does not know the relation of action to reaction, and of the need to have something better than a vacuum against which to react&#8211;to say that would be absurd. Of course, he only seems to lack the knowledge ladled out daily in high schools.&#8221; &#8212; 1921 New York Times editorial about Robert Goddard&#8217;s revolutionary rocket work. The remark was retracted in the July 17, 1969 issue.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;You want to have consistent and uniform muscle development across all of your muscles? It can&#8217;t be done. It&#8217;s just a fact of life. You just have to accept inconsistent muscle development as an unalterable condition of weight training.&#8221; &#8212; Response to Arthur Jones, who solved the &#8220;unsolvable&#8221; problem by inventing Nautilus.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Ours has been the first, and doubtless to be the last, to visit this profitless locality.&#8221; &#8212; Lt. Joseph Ives, after visiting the Grand Canyon in 1861.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find oil? You&#8217;re crazy.&#8221; &#8212; Workers whom Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to his project to drill for oil in 1859.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau.&#8221; &#8212; Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable. It would mean that the atom would have to be shattered at will.&#8221; &#8212; Albert Einstein, 1932.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives.&#8221; &#8212; Admiral William Leahy, U.S. Atomic Bomb Project.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value.&#8221; &#8212; Marechal Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;There will never be a bigger plane built.&#8221; &#8212; A Boeing engineer, after the first flight of the 247, a twin engine plane that holds ten people.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Everything that can be invented has been invented.&#8221; &#8212; Attributed to Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, U.S. Office of Patents, 1899, but known to be an urban legend.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;Louis Pasteur&#8217;s theory of germs is ridiculous fiction.&#8221; &#8212; Pierre Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872.<\/p>\n<p>* &#8220;The abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from the intrusion of the wise and humane surgeon.&#8221; &#8212; Sir John Eric Ericksen, British surgeon, appointed Surgeon-Extraordinary to Queen Victoria 1873.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;ve often been faced by sceptics about whether on not certain things are possible or not. In fact, I myself doubt certain things will not happen. But one thing that I must learn not to doubt is the human spirit. The spirit of anything can happen. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[414],"tags":[302,1703],"class_list":["post-291","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-fun-cool","tag-ideas","tag-innovation"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/291","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=291"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/291\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19992,"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/291\/revisions\/19992"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=291"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=291"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thefazz.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=291"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}